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In calea spre Parlament
Prima / Vladimir SOCOR
Vladimir SOCOR
05.06.2007
  CASPIAN ENERGY TRANSIT PROJECTS: “TIME TO ADVANCE FROM TALKING TO ACTING”
Russia’s monopolistic agreements on energy transit, signed in rapid succession with three Central Asian countries and Austria (see EDM, May 14, 16, 17, 29, 31) sent yet another wake-up call in Washington, sending U.S. officials urgently to assess the situation in the Caspian region. The European Union does not yet seem to be moving in that direction, however.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
01.06.2007
  MOLDOVA’S PRESIDENT CORNERED BY PUTIN
Concern arose in Chisinau, Brussels, and Washington -- to name only the main decision-making centers -- that Moldovan President Vladimir Voronin is susceptible to be cajoled into a bad deal with his Russian counterpart, Vladimir Putin, at their upcoming meeting in St. Petersburg on June 10. Meanwhile Voronin attended the CIS Inter-Parliamentary Assembly session, also in St. Petersburg, on May 30-31, where he was believed to prepare the meeting with Putin.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
31.05.2007
  U.S., EU ENERGY POLICIES IN EURASIA COLLAPSE
Insofar as they existed since 2001 (on the part of the United States) or since 2006 (on the part of a come-lately EU), Western energy policies in Eurasia collapsed in May 2007. During this month, Russia seems to have conclusively defeated all Western-backed projects to bring oil and gas from Central Asia directly to Europe. At their May 11-13 summits in Central Asia, the presidents of Russia, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, and Kazakhstan agreed to modernize and enlarge the capacity of gas pipelines that run from the three Central Asian countries to Russia;
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
31.05.2007
  CENTRAL ASIA-EUROPE ENERGY PROJECTS IN CRISIS: ITEMIZING WHAT WENT WRONG
The Kremlin-orchestrated summits in Central Asia and Austria this month turned into a cascade of setbacks to Western-proposed energy transit projects for Europe. At these summits from May 11 through 24, Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan agreed to maximize gas deliveries to Russia while practically disavowing the proposed trans-Caspian gas pipeline to Europe for lack of Russian consent.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
29.05.2007
  GAZPROM ACHIEVES AN ANSCHLUSS OF AUSTRIA
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s May 23-24 visit to Austria laid the ground for that country’s integration into Gazprom’s expanding network of dependencies. It may have dealt a coup de grace to the Nabucco project for alternative gas supplies to Austria and Europe.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
25.05.2007
  RUSSIAN TROOPS IN MOLDOVA -- MAIN REMAINING OBSTACLE TO CFE TREATY RATIFICATION
With Russian troops on their way out from two bases in Georgia, the international politics of CFE Treaty ratification focuses increasingly on Moldova. The OSCE’s Permanent Council-Forum for Security Cooperation special joint meeting on May 23, with Russian Minister of Foreign Affairs Sergei Lavrov’s participation, reflected this development.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
25.05.2007
  MOSCOW CONFRONTS THE WEST OVER CFE TREATY AT OSCE
Russian officials are intensifying their warnings about scuttling the Treaty on Conventional Forces in Europe (CFE), unless the West brings the adapted but unratified treaty into force while accepting the continued presence of Russian troops in Georgia and Moldova. Apart from that goal, Moscow aims to extend the treaty’s applicability to the three Baltic states, so as to limit possible deployments of Western forces there in emergencies.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
24.05.2007
  FROM DRUZHBA PIPELINES TO RUSSIA'S BALTIC PORTS: MOSCOW TO REDIRECT OIL FLOWS
On May 21, the Russian government announced its final approval of the second trunk line of the Baltic Pipeline System (BPS-2) for oil export from Russia’s port Primorsk through the Baltic Sea and the North Sea.This is Russia’s fifth major move within ten days to capture or monopolize energy transit routes outside Russia or kill projected routes that are not under Russian control.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
22.05.2007
  BALTIC SEABED GAS PIPELINE PROJECT: FAR FROM A DONE DEAL
Leaders of Estonia and Lithuania have publicly joined the growing ranks of critics and skeptics regarding Nordstream, the Russo-German Baltic seabed pipeline project for Russian gas. With Nordic countries along the proposed pipeline route raising environmental and security concerns, its commercial rationale increasingly questioned, and Russia’s capacity to supply the projected gas volumes doubtful, this pipeline project seems far from a done deal (see EDM, April 23).
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
21.05.2007
  GAZPROM TAKING OVER PIPELINES IN BELARUS
On May 18 in Minsk, Russia’s Gazprom and the Belarus government’s State Property Committee signed agreements to turn the Belarus state-owned gas pipeline company Beltransgaz into a Russia-Belarus joint company. Betransgaz provides transit of Russian gas to European Union countries and -- through its Beltopgaz subsidiary -- the distribution of Russian gas in Belarus.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
18.05.2007
  LOYALIST ADMINISTRATIVE UNIT CONSOLIDATING IN SOUTH OSSETIA
A series of incidents staged in recent days by South Ossetian secessionist forces seeks to provoke the Georgian government into retaliating, so as to derail a political process that Moscow and Tskhinvali cannot control. That political process involves the consolidation of Tbilisi-backed alternative authorities under Dmitry Sanakoyev in South Ossetia and the beginning of talks between those authorities and the Georgian government toward autonomy for South Ossetia within Georgia.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
17.05.2007
  KAZAKHSTAN’S GROWING GAS EXPORTS TO GO RUSSIA’S WAY
The rival energy summits, just held by pro-Western countries in Krakow and Russia-led countries in Astana and Turkmenbashi (see EDM, May 14-16), illustrated Kazakhstan’s accelerated drift into Russian-controlled, Eurasia-wide energy transport systems.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
16.05.2007
  RUSSIA SURGING FARTHER AHEAD IN RACE FOR CENTRAL ASIAN GAS
Presidents Vladimir Putin, Gurbanguly Berdimukhamedov, and Nursultan Nazarbayev signed on May 12 a declaration of intent to upgrade and expand gas transport pipelines from Turkmenistan and Kazakhstan, along the Caspian Sea coast, directly to Russia. At their tripartite summit in Turkmenistan’s city of Turkmenbashi, the presidents made public an additional declaration co-signed by Uzbek President Islam Karimov regarding modernization of the Uzbek section of the Turkmenistan-Uzbekistan-Kazakhstan-Russia gas pipeline.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
14.05.2007
  KRAKOW PRO-WESTERN ENERGY SUMMIT OUTMANEUVERED BY PUTIN IN CENTRAL ASIA
Originally suggested more than a year ago a summit of energy producer, transit, and consumer countries was held, albeit in a truncated format, on May 11 in Krakow, Poland. Presidents Ilham Aliyev of Azerbaijan, Mikheil Saakashvili of Georgia, Viktor Yushchenko of Ukraine, Lech Kaczynski of Poland, and Valdas Adamkus of Lithuania headed the respective delegations.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
11.05.2007
  ESTONIA’S PRESIDENT IN GEORGIA: SHARED GOALS UNDERSCORED
At the height of Russian bullying of Estonia, the country’s President Toomas Ilves flew to Georgia to tell that country -- which also borders on a hostile Russia -- that “Georgia is not alone.” Ilves’ decision to proceed with the previously scheduled, three-day official visit despite the Russia-orchestrated crisis, demonstrated confidence in the capacity of Estonia’s government and society to cope with the situation effectively.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
10.05.2007
  CASPIAN GAS PLENTIFUL FOR NABUCCO PIPELINE PROJECT
Hungary’s government remains the weak link in the planned Nabucco pipeline for Caspian gas to Europe via Turkey, Bulgaria, Romania, Hungary, and Austria -- a project led by Austria’s OMV company. The European Union has assigned high-priority status to this project, but the Hungarian government has a different priority.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
08.05.2007
  RUSSIAN STRATEGY, E.U. DRIFT IN ESTONIA
Russia’s ongoing political offensive against Estonia -- and implicit challenge to the European Union -- constitutes the first serious attempt to reverse the post-1991 status quo in Europe. Moscow seems to be targeting Estonia as a first test case of such a process. Further Russian challenges to the existing European order are likely to ensue if European governments and institutions tolerate, as seems mostly to be the case thus far, the assault on Estonia.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
07.05.2007
  U.S., DE HOOP SCHEFFER, BALTS SUPPORT ESTONIA
Responding to Russia’s bullying of Estonia (see EDM, April 27, May 1, 2, 3) the U.S. White House has invited Estonian President Toomas Ilves to meet with U.S. President George W. Bush on June 25 in Washington. The invitation itself, and the announcement’s timing, is the strongest demonstration of support for Estonia against Russia’s escalating threats since April 26.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
03.05.2007
  ESTONIA ALERTS THE EUROPEAN UNION TO RUSSIA’S THREATS
The violent rioting by several thousand Russian youths in Estonia on April 27-29 obscures the larger fact that hundreds of thousands of Russians in the country have not in any way become involved in illegal behavior or political protests, despite continuing incitement from Moscow.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
02.05.2007
  RUSSIA INTENSIFIES POLITICAL ASSAULT ON ESTONIA
The Kremlin’s assault on Estonia is intensifying on four levels of varying sophistication, ranging from the internet to street rowdyism. The methods include: Cyber attacks from within Russia’s highest authorities against the Estonian presidency’s and government’s electronic communications; political demands, backed by economic sanctions threats, to change the Estonian government;
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
 
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