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Prima / Vladimir SOCOR
Vladimir SOCOR
17.08.2006
  YANUKOVYCH COLD-SHOULDERED ON FIRST VISIT TO RUSSIA
Ukraine’s new prime minister, Viktor Yanukovych, paid his first visit abroad in that capacity on August 15-16 to Russian President Vladimir Putin’s residence in Sochi. The visit’s results are inconclusive, but Russia’s message to Ukraine seems clear: Economic favors are ruled out for the time being, but may become conditionally available later through mechanisms of “integration.”
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
17.08.2006
  GEORGIA’S SUCCESS IN KODORI GORGE BOLSTERS CASE TO REPLACE RUSSIAN “PEACEKEEPERS”
Georgian authorities have successfully restored legal order and are starting intensive development work in the hitherto isolated upper part of the Kodori Gorge. Tbilisi-based authorities of the pre-1992 Autonomous Republic of Abkhazia are now relocating to upper Kodori, the only part of Abkhazia not controlled by the secessionist authorities.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
16.08.2006
  UKRAINE’S NEW GOVERNMENT OUTLINES ITS ENERGY POLICY
Ukraine is approaching the heating season and agricultural autumn sowing season amid uncertainty over the price of gas, runaway prices on oil products and motor fuel, and with the state oil and gas company Naftohaz Ukrainy indebted to an extent that looks like insolvency. The new government’s energy policy is being driven by these short-term emergencies.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
11.08.2006
  RUSSIAN POLITICAL CAMPAIGN FOR A SECOND KALININGRAD IN TRANSNISTRIA
Sponsored jointly by Russian big business and security services, a network of Greater-Russia political and “civic” organizations is sprouting up in Transnistria, advocating the accession to the Russian Federation of this part of Moldova. Recent days have witnessed a wave of founding conferences of these organizations.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
10.08.2006
  “UNITING UKRAINE”: A HARD SELL FOR THE YUSHCHENKO-YANUKOVYCH COALITION
The formation of a majority-based parliamentary coalition and legitimate government promises relative stability to Ukraine after a year of chaos and misgovernance. Simply ending the turmoil and attending at last to the country’s pressing needs is a promise that undoubtedly meets the expectations of voters across the political spectrum and country.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
10.08.2006
  MOLDOVAN PRESIDENT'S KREMLIN VISIT DOES NOT UNFREEZE RELATIONS
Presidents Vladimir Putin of Russia and Vladimir Voronin of Moldova met in the Kremlin on August 8, following Voronin’s repeated requests for a bilateral meeting over the past year. Other than the group meetings at CIS summits, Voronin had not met with Putin bilaterally since February 2003. Russia froze the relations after Voronin rejected the November 2003 Kozak Memorandum on Moldova’s “federalization” under Russian “guarantees” and reoriented Moldova’s policy westward.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
08.08.2006
  UKRAINE’S NEW GOVERNMENT: MURKY BLUE, PALE ORANGE, SOME PINK, TOUCH OF RED
The mere fact that Ukraine finally has a cabinet of ministers since August 4 is an achievement after a seven-month vacuum. (The outgoing cabinet had been dismissed by parliament in January, continued as a powerless caretaker beyond the March elections, resigned officially in May both collectively and at the level of individual ministers, and limped on without proper legal authority.)
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
08.08.2006
  DONETSK TEAM’S HEGEMONY IN UKRAINIAN GOVERNMENT COULD BACKFIRE
The Donetsk interest group is clearly the hegemonic factor in Ukraine’s newly installed coalition government under Party of Regions' Prime Minister Viktor Yanukovych (see EDM, August 8, 9). It seems quite possible that Washington and Brussels can “do business” politically and perhaps to some extent even strategically with this group. Certainly, the government’s installation marks an advance from chaos to relative stability and predictability, as well as a shift from pro-Western but ineffectual Orange power to a “two-vector” (Russia-West) balance and a somewhat more competent power.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
07.08.2006
  UKRAINE’S ROUNDTABLE, UNITY DECLARATION: NO GUIDE TO POLICY OR ACTION
The August 3 Declaration on National Unity, signed by leaders of four political forces -- the Party of Regions, Our Ukraine, the Socialists, and (with reservations) the Communists -- as a basis for a governing Coalition of National Unity, is a declarative rather than a policy document. It announces a political truce among the signatories but does not point to a way out of crisis.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
03.08.2006
  RUSSIAN OIL SUPPLIES TO LITHUANIA CUT OFF
Since July 29, Russia’s oil pipeline monopoly Transneft has stopped deliveries to Lithuania’s Mazeikiai refinery, the largest economic entity in that country and sole refinery in the Baltic states. Transneft’s move seems designed to block the consummation of the three-way deal whereby Poland’s PKN Orlen company is acquiring the majority stake in Mazeikiai from Yukos International and a minority stake from the Lithuanian government.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
25.07.2006
  MOSCOW UNLEASHES A MOUNTAIN CHIEFTAIN AGAINST GEORGIA
Russian authorities, having recently coopted Kodori Gorge chieftain Emzar Kvitsiani, are now unleashing him against Georgia . The Georgian free mass media as well as Russia ’s unfree media are amply disseminating his message. Televised reports show him flanked by armed men in uniform, some of them masked, during interviews and while moving in the gorge.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
25.07.2006
  GEORGIA DEMONSTRATES POLITICAL, MILITARY SKILL IN KODORI GORGE
Georgian authorities are beginning to restore normal conditions for daily life in the upper Kodori Gorge, following the successful law-and-order operation on July 25-27 that forced the Moscow-manipulated rebel chieftain Emzar Kvitsiani to flee the area. The upper Kodori Gorge is the only part of pre-1992 Abkhazia’s territory not controlled by the secessionist authorities.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
24.07.2006
  SUMMIT PRESCRIBES CIS LITE; PUTIN BLINKS BEFORE SAAKASHVILI; VORONIN STANDS UP TO PUTIN
Devalued by an unusually low attendance -- only eight out of twelve presidents -- the CIS informal summit in Moscow on July 21-22 marks the official transition of this organization to a “lite” version of its former self. With Russian President Vladimir Putin’s acquiescence, Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev presented a set of proposals to reduce the CIS to a few functions, mainly in the sphere of social projects. Moreover, Putin blinked before the absent Georgian President, Mikheil Saakashvili, by eschewing a discussion on Russian “peacekeeping” in Abkhazia, even though the Kremlin itself and all of Russia’s officialdom insisted all along that this issue belongs to the CIS competency.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
24.07.2006
  MOSCOW’S ANTI-GEORGIAN AGITPROP TARGETS WASHINGTON, BRUSSELS
Responding to Georgia’s call for the replacement of Russian “peacekeeping” troops by international police (see EDM, July 20), Moscow now accuses Georgia of a premeditated intent to launch military operations in South Ossetia and/or Abkhazia. Moreover, Russia threatens to intervene with its troops on the side of its protИgИs in that eventuality. Russia’s Ministries of Foreign Affairs and Defense -- including the two ministers, Sergei Lavrov and Sergei Ivanov -- as well as leaders of the governing party, Kremlin advisers, and the state-controlled mass media are repeating these inflammatory accusations and threats on a daily basis.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
20.07.2006
  GEORGIAN PARLIAMENT CALLS FOR REPLACING RUSSIAN "PEACEKEEPERS" WITH INTERNATIONAL POLICE CONTINGENT
Georgia’s parliament approved on July 18 a resolution calling for the withdrawal of Russia’s “peacekeeping” troops from Georgian territory in Abkhazia and South Ossetia and the deployment of internationally mandated police forces in the two areas.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
19.07.2006
  DEZINFORMATSIYA ALIVE BUT TRANSPARENT
Two forgeries now circulating in Europe and North America bear the classic imprint of Soviet disinformation, presented, however, in modern-looking packaging developed by Modest Kolerov’s department of the presidential administration in the Kremlin.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
17.07.2006
  DEVELOPMENT AID CAN BE GEARED TOWARD CONFLICT RESOLUTION IN ABKHAZIA
Georgia is preparing to exercise its sovereign right to demand the termination of Russian “peacekeeping” operations on its territory and their replacement with genuine international peacekeeping missions. Concurrently, Tbilisi is redoubling efforts to unfreeze not the conflicts as such (these are not and never were “frozen”) but rather to unfreeze the frozen negotiations toward political settlements in Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Within this context, the role of international donor agencies and the functions of development aid in the secessionist enclaves requires some overall political rethinking and adjustment of goals on the ground.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
03.07.2006
  GAZPROM'S SEGP PROJECT, ROSUKRENERGO CONFLICT WITH EU IN HUNGARY
One day before U.S. President George W. Bush’s recent visit to Hungary, that country’s Economics Minister Janos Koka and Gazprom chairman Alexei Miller signed on June 21 a non-binding agreement that could open the way for Gazprom’s expansion via Hungary deeper into European Union territory. Hungarian Prime Minister Ferenc Gyurcsany had set the stage for this agreement -- contrary to U.S. recommendations and EU goals -- in discussions with Russian President Vladimir Putin and the Gazprom management during Putin’s March visit to Hungary.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
30.06.2006
  NABUCCO PIPELINE PROJECT TO DIVERSIFY EUROPE’S GAS SUPPLIES
On June 26 in Vienna, the Energy Ministers of Austria, Bulgaria, Hungary, Romania, and Turkey as well as the European Union’s Energy Commissioner Andris Piebalgs signed a Ministerial Statement of commitment to the Nabucco gas pipeline project. According to Piebalgs, the EU regards the planned pipeline from Turkey to Austria as “essential to Europe” and “the EU’s most important gas supply project.”
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
29.06.2006
  UKRAINE'S ORANGE TWO GOVERNMENT CAN MEET THE TRANSNISTRIA CHALLENGE
Minister of Foreign Affairs Borys Tarasyuk’s June 26-27 visit to Moldova was the first visit abroad by a senior Ukrainian official since the formation of the parliamentary coalition and designation of a prime minister in the person of Yulia Tymoshenko (June 22). His discussions with President Vladimir Voronin and other Moldovan officials indicate that Kyiv is now fully aligned with the West and Moldova on the Transnistria issue and intends to continue in this vein, provided that the three-party coalition does form the Ukrainian government. Voronin expressed confident hope that this would be the case.
by Vladimir Socor
 
Detalii
 
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